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Canada opposition Conservatives take big lead - poll
(Reuters)
Updated: 2006-01-16 15:27

Canada's opposition Conservatives have taken a huge lead over the ruling Liberals and will have little trouble winning the January 23 election, a new poll said late on Sunday.

The Strategic Counsel poll for CTV and Monday's Globe and Mail newspaper put support for the Conservatives at 40 percent with the Liberals far behind at 27 percent.

The data shows that if the election were held now, the Liberals would be out of office after 12 years in power. The only question would be whether the Conservatives won a majority or a minority of the 308 seats in Parliament.

Canadian Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper addresses supporters during an election campaign rally in Buckingham, Quebec January 15, 2006.
Canadian Conservative Party leader Stephen Harper addresses supporters during an election campaign rally in Buckingham, Quebec January 15, 2006.[Reuters]
"It's a Tory (Conservative) juggernaut," the Strategic Counsel's Tim Woolstencroft told CTV.

The campaign started in late November when Liberal Prime Minister Paul Martin's minority government was brought down over a kickback scandal.

Martin started with a slight lead but steadily lost ground amid a stumbling campaign, fresh scandals and voter fatigue.

Last week the Liberals released a series of attack advertisements designed to convince Canadians that Conservative leader Stephen Harper was a right-wing extremist bent on curbing personal freedoms.

But the latest poll is evidence that the commercials had had no effect at all.

Liberal leader and Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin (front L) greets deputy leader Anne McLellan (R) during a rally in Edmonton, Canada January 15, 2006.
Liberal leader and Canadian Prime Minister Paul Martin (front L) greets deputy leader Anne McLellan (R) during a rally in Edmonton, Canada January 15, 2006.[Reuters]
The figures show the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals by 40 points to 33 points in the populous central province of Ontario, traditionally a Liberal stronghold.

And in the French-speaking province of Quebec, support for the Conservatives has risen so fast that they are now second to the separatist Bloc Quebecois.

The kickback scandal involved some senior Liberals in Quebec and slashed support for the party, boosting the fortunes of the Bloc. But the rise of the Conservatives means the Bloc could even lose seats January 23 -- something considered impossible just a week ago.

In Quebec the Bloc has public support of 43 percent, compared to 26 percent for the Conservatives and just 17 percent for the Liberals.



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